Benjamin D. Rubin

Assistant Professor

The University of Western Ontario

Department of Biology

Department of Statistical & Actuarial Sciences

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Using the space-time permutation scan statistic to map anomalous diameter distributions drawn from landscape-scale forest inventories (with D. MacFarlane, Michigan State University).  Landscape-scale tree stem size-class distributions contain information that is potentially useful for evaluating the structural sustainability of forests, describing the impacts of past disturbance and predicting future forest structure.  One obstacle to interpreting diameter distributions at large scales is that typical boundaries used to define populations, such as ecoregions or counties, may not correspond to areas with different diameter distributions.  We modified the space-time permutation scan statistic (STPSS), a disease outbreak detection technique, to identify and map areas in Pennsylvania, USA, where diameter distributions based on Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plots differed from the diameter distributions of the state as a whole.  Regression models confirmed that the STPSS identified areas where the diameter distributions of all species, oaks, and red maple differed from their corresponding statewide populations.  Through a nested application of the STPSS at successively smaller spatial scales, we mapped core zones within each area where the difference was greatest.

 

 

 

 

CONTACT INFORMATION:

 

brubin2@uwo.ca

(519) 661-2111 ext. 87475

270 Biological and Geological Sciences Bldg.

University of Western Ontario

London, ON N6A 5B7

Canada