Dr. Robert Shcherbakov

Associate Professor

Publication List


The citation statistics to my works can be found through Google Scholar or ResearcherID (Web of Knowledge).

I. Book Chapters (peer reviewed)

  1. K.F. Tiampo, R. Shcherbakov, and P. Kovacs, "Probability Gain from Seismicity-Based Earthquake Models", in Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters, ed. G. Michel, Elsevier, 2017, p. 175, doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-804071-3.00007-0.
  2. R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, and J.B. Rundle, "Complexity and Earthquakes" in Treatise on Geophysics, 2nd ed., Vol. 4, Ch. 24, ed. H. Kanamori, Elsevier, 2015, doi:10.1016/B978-0-444-53802-4.00094-4.
  3. D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, and J.B. Rundle, "Complexity and Earthquakes" in Treatise on Geophysics, Vol. 4, Chap. 23, ed. H. Kanamori, pp. 675-700, Elsevier, 2007, doi:10.1016/B978-044452748-6.00085-7.
  4. D.L. Turcotte, S.G. Abaimov, R. Shcherbakov, and J.B. Rundle, "Nonlinear Dynamics of Natural Hazards", in Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences, Ch. 30, eds. A. Tsonis and J. Elsner, pp. 557-580, Springer, 2007, doi:10.1007/978-0-387-34918-3_30.

II. Journal Articles (peer reviewed)

  1. R. Shcherbakov, "Statistics and Forecasting of Aftershocks during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence", J. Geophys. Res. 126, (2021), doi: 10.1029/2020JB020887.
  2. S. Kothari, R. Shcherbakov, G.M. Atkinson, "Statistical Modeling and Characterization of Induced Seismicity within the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin", J. Geophys. Res. 125, (2020), doi: 10.1029/2020JB020606.
  3. R. Shcherbakov, J. Zhuang, G. Zoeller, and Y. Ogata, "Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake", Nature Communications 10, (2019), doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-11958-4.
  4. R. Shcherbakov, J. Zhuang, and Y. Ogata, "Constraining the magnitude of the largest event in a foreshock-mainshock-aftershock sequence", Geophys. J. Int. 212, (2018) 1-13, doi: 10.1093/gji/ggx407.
  5. X. Zhang and R. Shcherbakov, "Power-law rheology controls aftershock triggering and decay", Sci. Rep., 6 (2016) 36668, doi:10.1038/srep36668.
  6. G.M. Atkinson, D.W. Eaton, H. Ghofrani, D. Walker, B. Cheadle, R. Schultz, R. Shcherbakov, K. Tiampo, J. Gu, R.M. Harrington, Y. Liu, M. van der Baan, H. Kao, "Hydraulic fracturing and seismicity in the western Canada sedimentary basin", Seism. Res. Lett., 87 (2016) 631-647, doi:10.1785/0220150263.
  7. R. Shcherbakov, "Bayesian confidence intervals for the magnitude of the largest aftershock", Geophys. Res. Lett., 41 (2014) 6380-6388, doi:10.1002/2014GL061272.
  8. R. Shcherbakov, K. Goda, A. Ivanian, and G.M. Atkinson, "Aftershock statistics of major subduction earthquakes", Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 103 (2013) 3222-3234, doi:10.1785/0120120337.
  9. R. Shcherbakov, J. Davidsen, and K.F. Tiampo, "Record-breaking avalanches in driven threshold systems", Phys. Rev. E, 87 (2013) 052811, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.87.052811.
  10. L. Sanchez and R. Shcherbakov, "Scaling properties of planetary calderas and terrestrial volcanic eruptions", Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 19 (2012) 585-593, doi:10.5194/npg-19-585-2012.
  11. L. Sanchez and R. Shcherbakov, "Temporal scaling of volcanic eruptions", J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 247-248 (2012) 115-121, doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.08.004.
  12. R. Shcherbakov, M. Nguyen, M. Quigley, "Statistical analysis of the 2010 Mw 7.1 Christchurch, New Zealand, earthquake aftershock sequence", New Zealand J. Geol. Geophys., 55 (2012) 305-311, doi:10.1080/00288306.2012.676556.
  13. P. Bhattacharya, R. Shcherbakov, K. Tiampo, and L. Mansinha, "Anomalous statistics of aftershock sequences generated by super-shear ruptures", Res. Geophys., 2 (2012) e6, doi:10.4081/rg.2012.e6.
  14. K.F. Tiampo and R. Shcherbakov, "Optimization of seismicity-based forecasts", Pure Appl. Geophys., (2012), doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0457-9.
  15. K.F. Tiampo and R. Shcherbakov, "Seismicity-based earthquake forecasting: Ten years of progress", Tectonophysics, 522-523 (2012) 89-121, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2011.08.019.
  16. P. Bhattacharya, M. Phan, and R. Shcherbakov, "Statistical analysis of the 2002 Mw 7.9 Denali earthquake aftershock sequence", Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 101 (2011) 2662-2674, doi:10.1785/0120100336.
  17. R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, J.B. Rundle, K.F. Tiampo, and J.R. Holliday, "Forecasting the locations of future large earthquakes: An analysis and verification", Pure Appl. Geophys., 167 (2010) 743-749, doi:10.1007/s00024-010-0069-1.
  18. S.G. Abaimov, D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, J.B. Rundle, G. Yakovlev, C. Goltz, and W.I. Newman, "Earthquakes: recurrence and interoccurrence times", Pure Appl. Geophys., 165 (2008) 777-795, doi:10.1007/s00024-008-0331-y.
  19. S.G. Abaimov, D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, and J.B. Rundle, "Recurrence and interoccurrence behavior of self-organized complex phenomena", Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 14 (2007) 455-464, doi:10.5194/npg-14-455-2007.
  20. K.Z. Nanjo, B. Enescu, R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, T. Iwata, and Y. Ogata, "Decay of aftershock activity for Japanese earthquakes", J. Geophys. Res., 112 (2007) B08309, doi:10.1029/2006JB004754.
  21. J.B. Rundle, D.L. Turcotte, P.B. Rundle, R. Shcherbakov, A. Donnelan, W. Klein, "Pattern dynamics, pattern hierarchies, and forecasting in complex multi-scale earth systems", Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci., 10 (2006) 1-8, doi:10.5194/hessd-3-1045-2006.
  22. R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, and J.B. Rundle, "Scaling properties of the Parkfield aftershock sequence", Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 94 (2006) S376-384, doi:10.1785/0120050815.
  23. D.L. Turcotte and R. Shcherbakov, "Can damage mechanics explain temporal scaling laws in brittle fracture and seismicity?", Pure Appl. Geophys., 163 (2006) 1031-1045, doi:10.1007/s00024-006-0058-6.
  24. R. Shcherbakov, J. Van Aalsburg, J.B. Rundle, and D.L. Turcotte, "Correlations in aftershock and seismicity patterns", Tectonophysics, 413 (2006) 53-62, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2005.10.009.
  25. R. Shcherbakov, G. Yakovlev, D.L. Turcotte, and J.B. Rundle, "Model for the distribution of aftershock interoccurrence times", Phys. Rev. Lett., 95 (2005) 218501, doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.95.218501.
  26. J.B. Rundle, P.B. Rundle, A. Donnelan, D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, P. Li, B.D. Malamud, L.B. Grant, G.C. Fox, D. McLeod, G. Yakovlev, J. Parker, W. Klein, K.F. Tiampo, "A simulation-based approach to forecasting the next great San Francisco earthquake" Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 102 (2005) 15363-15367, doi:10.1073/pnas.0507528102.
  27. K. Nanjo, D.L. Turcotte, and R. Shcherbakov, "A model of damage mechanics for the deformation of the continental crust", J. Geophys. Res., 110 (2005) B07403, doi:10.1029/2004JB003438.
  28. R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, and J.B. Rundle, "Aftershock statistics", Pure Appl. Geophys., 162 (2005) 1051-1076, doi:10.1007/s00024-004-2661-8.
  29. R. Shcherbakov, D.L. Turcotte, and J.B. Rundle, "A generalized Omori's law for earthquake aftershock decay", Geophys. Res. Lett., 31 (2004) L11613, doi:10.1029/2004GL019808.
  30. R. Shcherbakov and D.L. Turcotte, "A modified form of Bath's law", Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 94(5) (2004) 1968-1975, doi:10.1785/012003162.
  31. R. Shcherbakov and D.L. Turcotte, "A damage mechanics model for aftershocks", Pure Appl. Geophys., 161 (2004) 2379-2391, doi:10.1007/s00024-004-2570-x.
  32. J.B. Rundle, D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, W. Klein, and C. Sammis, "Statistical physics approach to understanding the multiscale dynamics of earthquake fault systems", Rev. Geophys., 41 (2003) 1019, doi:10.1029/2003RG000135.
  33. R. Shcherbakov and D.L. Turcotte, "Damage and self-similarity in fracture", Theor. Appl. Fract. Mech., 39 (2003) 245-258, doi:10.1016/S0167-8442(03)00005-3.
  34. D.L. Turcotte, W.I. Newman, and R. Shcherbakov, "Micro- and macro-scopic models of rock fracture", Geophys. J. Int., 152 (2003) 718-728, doi:10.1046/j.1365-246X.2003.01884.x.
  35. D.L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, B.D. Malamud, and A.B. Kucinskas, "Is the Martian crust also the Martian elastic lithosphere?" J. Geophys. Res., 107 (2002) 5091, 2001JE001594, doi:10.1029/2001JE001594.
  36. R. Shcherbakov and D.L. Turcotte, "Self-organizing height-arrow model: Numerical and analytical results", Physica A, 277 (2000) 274-292, doi:10.1016/S0378-4371(99)00588-9.
  37. N.S. Ananikian, R.G. Ghulghazaryan, N.Sh. Izmailian, and R. Shcherbakov, "Exact solution of a Z(4) gauge Potts model on planar lattices", Phys. Rev. E, 60 (1999) 5106, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.60.5106.
  38. A.M. Povolotsky, V.B. Priezzhev, and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Dynamics of Eulerian walkers", Phys. Rev. E, 58 (1998) 5449, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.58.5449.
  39. R.R. Shcherbakov, Vl.V. Papoyan, A.M. Povolotsky, "Critical dynamics of self-organizing Eulerian walkers", Phys. Rev. E, 55 (1997) 3686, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.55.3686.
  40. Vl.V. Papoyan and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Distribution of heights in the Abelian sandpile model on the Husimi lattice", Fractals, 4 (1996) 97-104, doi:10.1142/S0218348X96000133.
  41. Vl.V. Papoyan and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Abelian sandpile model on the Husimi lattice of square plaquettes", J. Phys. A: Math. Gen., 28 (1995) 6099-6107, doi:10.1088/0305-4470/28/21/014.
  42. N.S. Ananikian and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Reduction of a Z(3) gauge theory on the flat lattices to the spin-1 BEG model", Phys. Lett. A, 200 (1995) 27-30, doi:10.1016/0375-9601(95)00104-B.
  43. N.S. Ananikian and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Tricritical phenomena in a Z(3) lattice gauge theory", J. Phys. A: Math. Gen., 27 (1994) L887-L890, doi:10.1088/0305-4470/27/23/004.
  44. N.S. Ananikian, N.Sh. Izmailian, and R.R. Shcherbakov, "Exact solution of the Blume-Emery-Griffiths model on a Bethe lattice", JETP Lett., 59 (1994) 71-75, doi:.
  45. N.S. Ananikian, N.Sh. Izmailian, R.R. Shcherbakov, "Order-order phase transition in the BEG model", Fizika Tverdogo Tela, 34 (1992) 3448-3451.

III. Book Reviews (peer reviewed)

  1. R. Shcherbakov, Book Review: "Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction" by V.I. Keilis-Borok and A.A. Soloviev, EOS, 84 (2003) 321.

IV. Conference Proceedings (peer reviewed)

  1. R. Shcherbakov and D.L. Turcotte. "Aftershocks and damage mechanics", in Proceedings of the 3rd ACES International Workshop, (ACES, The University of Queensland), 2003, pp. 321-326.
  2. N.S. Ananikian and R.R. Shcherbakov, "The interrelation of a Z(3) gauge theory on the flat lattices and a spin-1 BEG model", in Proceedings of the VIII International Conference "Quarks-94", (World Scientific, Singapore), 1995, pp. 499-504.